Wednesday, November 26, 2025

NFL Thanksgiving: Chiefs vs Cowboys Could Draw 35M Viewers


The Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) will face the Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) on Thursday, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. This Thanksgiving Day matchup kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast nationally on CBS, with streaming available on Paramount+ and Fubo. 

The Chiefs enter as 3.5-point favorites with a total point over/under of 52, reflecting high expectations for a shootout between two top-5 offenses. Both teams are in playoff contention—Kansas City with a 57% chance and Dallas at 14%—adding stakes to what could be a pivotal Week 13 clash.

📺Expected TV Ratings and Viewership

This game is poised to shatter records as the most-watched NFL regular-season game in history, driven by the star power of Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott, the teams' massive fanbases, the prime Thanksgiving slot, and playoff implications. 

Analysts predict it will exceed the current benchmark of 28.06 million viewers, set by the Chiefs' 2021 win over the Cowboys (a 17-9 game on Fox). That 2021 matchup was the season's top-viewed game at the time, underscoring the enduring draw of this rivalry.

Key factors boosting viewership:
  • Chiefs' Dynasty Appeal: Kansas City has been the NFL's premier draw since 2020, with a 72-23 regular-season record and four Super Bowl appearances in five years. Their games frequently top ratings charts. 
  • Cowboys' "America's Team" Status: Dallas remains a perennial ratings juggernaut, especially at home on holidays.
  • Competitive Matchup: Unlike lopsided blowouts, a close game (projected scores like Chiefs 28-24 or Cowboys 30-27) keeps viewers locked in.
While exact numerical projections aren't universally published yet, the consensus from media previews is a viewership north of 30 million, potentially pushing toward 35 million if the game stays tight into the fourth quarter. For context, the 2024 Thanksgiving tripleheader averaged around 25-30 million per game, but this slate's headliner eclipses those due to the matchup's hype.