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Wednesday, September 17, 2025

Ratings Creep Inflating Sports Viewership Numbers


The phrase "Nielsen’s ratings creep" refers to the ongoing trend where Nielsen, the dominant TV audience measurement company, has incrementally updated its methodologies to capture a broader, more accurate picture of viewership—resulting in consistently higher reported numbers for live events, especially sports.

These changes, often rolled out gradually, create a "creep" effect: ratings appear to surge year-over-year, leading to headlines about "record-setting" audiences that may not fully reflect genuine growth in popularity but rather improvements in how data is collected and integrated. 

This has been particularly evident in recent sports broadcasts, where big numbers for NFL and college football games have dominated headlines. While sports remain a powerhouse for TV—driving over 1.7 trillion minutes of U.S. viewing in 2024 alone—these methodological shifts mean direct comparisons to prior years can be misleading.

This phenomenon builds on years of criticism that Nielsen undercounted viewers, especially for live sports watched outside traditional homes (e.g., bars, gyms, or on streaming devices). Networks and leagues have long pushed for better data to justify ad rates, which for NFL games can exceed $1 million per 30-second spot. The latest updates, fully implemented in September 2025, have amplified the creep, turning routine broadcasts into apparent blockbusters. Below, I'll break down the key changes, recent examples, and why experts are cautioning against overhyping the "records."



Key Changes Driving the Ratings Creep


These aren't one-off tweaks; they're part of Nielsen's push toward "Nielsen ONE," a unified cross-media system. The company holds contracts with all major broadcasters, streamers, and leagues, making its data the industry standard for ad sales. 

But as Sports Media Watch notes, the result is an "arcade mode" for ratings: numbers are more accurate now, but without context, they fuel viral "highest ever" claims that ignore the methodological apples-to-oranges comparison.

Recent Record-Setting Numbers in Sports:  You've likely seen the buzz around NFL and college football kicking off the 2025 season with eye-popping figures—many touted as "all-time highs." These are direct products of the new Big Data + Panel rollout, combined with OOH expansion. 

Here's a snapshot of standout examples from early September 2025:
  • College Football Week 1 (August 31-September 1, 2025): ESPN/ABC reported its biggest opening weekend ever, averaging 8.6 million viewers across four ABC games and 4.0 million across all ESPN networks. Key games included:Texas vs. Ohio State: 16.62 million viewers on FOX—the largest Week 1 audience on record (beating 2017's Alabama-FSU, though prior years lacked big data/OOH).
  • Notre Dame vs. Miami (Ohio): 10.8 million on ABC.
  • Alabama vs. Florida State: 10.7 million on ABC.
  • LSU vs. Clemson: 10.4 million on ABC.
  • College GameDay pregame show: 4.0 million viewers, shattering its all-time record.
Analysts warn this is "everything to do with Nielsen's 'new' data collection" rather than pure growth.