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Saturday, October 5, 2024

'Dangerous' Tropical Rainstorm Targets Florida


A sloppy mashup of showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf of Mexico is expected to make its way toward South Florida bringing days of rain beginning Sunday that could total up to a foot in some areas through mid-week.

The National Hurricane Center has been watching an area over the western Caribbean and southwestern Gulf of Mexico since Sept. 26, giving it varying chances of development. After dropping to a low chance of becoming a tropical cyclone earlier this week, it was up to a moderate, or 50% chance, over the next seven days.

A tropical or subtropical depression or storm could form in the Gulf during the early to middle part of next week, according to the NHC's Friday morning forecast. The next name on the 2024 hurricane list is Milton, followed by Nadine and Oscar.

The disturbance has an uncertain path ahead of it and predictions could change depending on its interaction with a cool front moving through the southeast and shredding wind shear in the Gulf. National Weather Service (NWS) meteorologists in Miami called the forecast details and rainfall totals "fuzzy" in their Friday morning discussion.

The Palm Beach Post reports widespread rainfall totals for Palm Beach County are forecast to be between 4 to 8 inches with localized totals reaching 10 to 12 inches through Wednesday or Thursday.

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